The Russian military press has published relatively little on this spring’s draft which is set to end in just a few days. There are, however, data points worth examining against what was written here.
On June 21, Mil.ru noted that Russia’s Western MD is getting 48,000 of this spring’s conscripts. That’s a pretty enormous 34 percent of all draftees.
Mil.ru also reported the Black Sea Fleet has gotten 1,700 of 2,600 new men it’s expecting.
We already heard that the Baltic and Northern Fleets were getting 5,000 and 2,500 conscripts respectively, putting the Navy over 10,000 without counting the Pacific Fleet’s share. If we guess the latter gets 3,000, this puts the Navy at 13,000 for the spring campaign. That would be nine percent of all draftees, not the predicted six percent. A similar number from last fall would make 26,000, and conscription would account for perhaps 19 percent of Navy manpower.
On May 21, the Russian military indicated that 8,000 draftees were going to the RVSN. That’s six percent of the spring cohort rather than the estimated eight. About 26 percent of RVSN personnel might be conscripts.
The MOD website reported on May 7 that the VDV will take more than 6,000 draftees. That gives the Russian airborne four percent of the current allocation of conscripts, about as predicted. A roughly similar number in the fall would mean the VDV are 30 percent conscript-manned.
“Few conscripts are fortunate enough to get to serve in VDV sub-units. The competition for those wishing to serve in the VDV in some military commissariats reaches 30 men per spot.”
The VDV get to pick the best available young men:
“The main selection criteria for the VDV are excellent health and physical preparedness, a high level of neuropsychological stability, [and] positive social and moral characteristics.”